The Met Office has issued four weather warnings for the coming weekend as heavy rain is expected to cause disruption in some parts of the UK. Greater Manchester, meanwhile, is set for a mostly dry weekend with temperatures in the low teens.
08.10.2023 - 11:21 / dailyrecord.co.uk
It may feel premature to be thinking about snow, but weather experts are already predicting what the UK could be in for this winter.
According to long range forecasts, there could be plenty of snow ahead due to an El Niño weather pattern. El Niño is a term for when the sea surface temperature warms every few years and its effects are usually felt in December.
Previous El Niño years have resulted in colder winters in the UK. According to Professor Adam Scaife, head of long-range prediction at the Met Office, this El Niño will start mild and wet before it turns cold and dry in January, reports BirminghamLive.
Professor Scaife told EuroNews: "El Niño years have a tendency to have a mild wet and westerly start to winter (November to December) and a colder, drier end to winter (January to March) across most of northern Europe."
He added: "It's important to note that this is the average across many El Niño cases and isn’t strong enough to determine the outcome for certain. Instead, El Niño just shifts the probability in favour of these outcomes."
Likewise, the Priestley Centre for Climate Futures at Leeds University, explained that this winter could be 'frosty' due to El Niño.
They explained: "During El Niño winters... The largest effect is observed in northern Europe... where winters become drier and colder. A frosty 2023-24 winter season is likely if El Niño ramps up sufficiently by then."
However, the Met Office also warns that predicting snow in the UK is notoriously tricky. Because the UK is an island surrounded by milder water, air can often warm up slightly before it reaches our shores, ending up as rain rather than snow or an occurence which is trickier to predict - a mix of rain, sleet, and snow.
However for the UK, being
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Heavy rain in Greater Manchester is set to make way to more settled conditions over the weekend.