A solo star is born!!!
01.10.2023 - 16:17 / deadline.com
The writers have settled. Actors and companies return to the table this week. The awards season is saved (almost, we hope).
This could finally be it. Do we dare even say it? The year of The Great Oscar Comeback.
Everyone with a stake in the Academy Awards has watched with chagrin as the Oscar audience began its long, slow slide from a 2014 peak, with 43.6 million viewers when 12 Years a Slave took top honors. It then crashed to a miserable Covid-low of 10.4 million in 2021, when Nomadland won, before struggling back to a still anemic audience of 18.7 million as Everything Everwhere All At Once prevailed last March.
In all, it’s been a lousy decade for the movie awards game. Rare is the player who hasn’t worried that the fans are gone, just like beaver when the mountain men (see, e.g., Jeremiah Johnson, The Big Sky) trapped them out.
But unlike furry mammals, Oscar viewers can regenerate with surprising speed, as happened in 2004, when 43.5 million tuned in to see The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King win Best Picture, just one year after Chicago had reduced the audience to a worrisome low of 33 million.
With labor woes presumably clearing—the SAG-AFTRA strike still has planners in a holding pattern—signs at the moment point toward an audience rebound as big as that 10 million jump or bigger.
Go ahead, be optimistic. I certainly am.
After all, Pete Hammond, Deadline’s chief awards prognosticator, tells us that both Barbie, with over $631 million in domestic ticket sales, and Oppenheimer, with around $322 million at the box office, are a lock for Best Picture nominations. “Take it to the bank,” says Pete.
OK, gladly, I will. I’ll also happily buy Hammond’s notion that Killers of the Flower Moon, from Martin
A solo star is born!!!
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