Is Beyoncé’s ‘Cowboy Carter’ an Unstoppable Frontrunner for the Album of the Year Grammy?
01.04.2024 - 23:23
/ variety.com
Chris Willman Senior Music Writer and Chief Music Critic Not very many years come along where we’d be talking about a presumptive winner for the album of the year Grammy 10 months before the award is given out. Neither do times come along very often where we would necessarily be considering someone a likely shoo-in for a major award when that person has famously been nominated for it four times and lost every time.
But never before has there been a year that has brought us a “Cowboy Carter,” and so all bets are off, when it comes to placing our bets very, very early. If wagering this far out is never completely safe, it still seems unimaginable — barring totally unforeseen circumstances — that the most talked-about album of Beyoncé‘s career will be anything but the front-runner as the months count down to early 2025.
Prognosticating the Grammys this early is bound to lead to some pearl-clutching. But Oscar-watchers feel no such hesitance when it comes to the calendar, and none would have thought that Academy Awards speculation was beyond the pale when “Barbenheimer” fever struck last summer.
Well, guess what? “Oppenheimer” came out when there were still five and a half months left in the Oscars’ calendar year, but obvious is obvious. And since the Grammys’ eligibility period ends earlier than most people realize it does, in September 2024, we’re actually only six months away from the cutoff — about as far away as Christopher Nolan’s movie was from its goalposts when people felt confident about calling it a frontrunner.
The Grammys are usually far less predictable than the Oscars, so it would feel foolish to think about making a call this early unless we had the musical equivalent of an “Oppenheimer” on our hands. It
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